抗肿瘤药物治疗的晚期非小细胞肺癌患者生存预后分析
作者:
作者单位:

1.山西医科大学药学院,山西 太原,030001;2.山西省肿瘤医院/ 中国医学科学院肿瘤医院山西医院/;山西医科大学附属肿瘤医院,山西 太原,030013

作者简介:

郑克澳,男,硕士研究生,研究方向为药学。

通讯作者:

郝志英,女,硕士,主任药师,研究方向为医院药学。

中图分类号:

R734.2;R979.1

基金项目:

国家肿瘤区域医疗中心科教培育基金(SD2023027);2024年山西省财政补助中医药资金(zyytd2024019)


Survival prognosis of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with anti-tumor drugs
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Pharmacy, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China;2.Shanxi Cancer Hospital / Shanxi;Hospital Affiliated to Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences / Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi;Medical University, Taiyuan, 030013, Shanxi, China

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    摘要:

    目的 通过整合患者基本信息和临床数据,开发和验证一种预测模型,用于预测个体晚期非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的5年生存率。方法 从山西省肿瘤医院收集313例晚期NSCLC患者的临床资料,以7∶3的比例随机分配到训练队列和内部验证队列。采用单因素和多因素的Cox回归分析筛选出影响患者5年生存率的独立因素并创建预测模型。使用一致性指数(C-index)、校准曲线和受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估模型的性能,并使用临床决策曲线(DCA)对预测模型临床获益程度进行模型效能评估。创建列线图以可视化患者的5年生存预测概率。结果 创建了一个较好的预后模型并绘制了模型可视化列线图。列线图由9个变量构建:年龄、吸烟史、N分期、骨转移、血小板计数、淋巴细胞绝对值、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、Ki67和一线治疗方案。根据训练队列的中位风险评分,将所有个体分为高风险组和低风险组,高风险组在两个队列中总生存期(OS)均较差(P<0.05)。结论 建立了一个临床预测模型,用于预测晚期NSCLC患者的5年生存率。

    Abstract:

    Objective To develop and validate a prediction model for the 5-year survival rate of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) by integrating the basic information and clinical data of patients.Methods A total of 313 patients with advanced NSCLC from the Cancer Hospital of Shanxi Medical University were randomly assigned (7∶3) to a training cohort and an internal validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to screen out the independent factors that affect the 5-year survival rate of patients and create a prediction model. The performance of the model 0020 was evaluated using the consistency index (C-index), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical benefit of the prediction model. A nomogram was also created to visualize the predicted probability of 5-year survival.Results A good prognostic model was developed and a nomogram for model visualization was plotted. The nomogram was constructed with nine variables: age, smoking history, N stage, bone metastasis, platelet count, lymphocyte count, lactate dehydrogenase, Ki67, and first-line treatment regimen. Based on the median risk score of the training cohort, all individuals were divided into high-risk group and low-risk group, and the high-risk group had poor overall survival (OS) in both cohorts (P<0.05).Conclusion A clinical prediction model was established to predict the 5-year survival rate of patients with advanced NSCLC.

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郑克澳,郝志英,李方钰,徐婷婷,张俊艳.抗肿瘤药物治疗的晚期非小细胞肺癌患者生存预后分析[J].肿瘤药学,2024,14(6):738-746 ( in Chinese)

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-02-25
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